Is
the iPad *really* the future of the web? Some people seem to be eating
up the hype, and hanging onto every statement that Apple makes, but I'm
not convinced. There are a lot of features of the iPad that leave me
scratching my head, but in this post I want to talk about the lack of
plug-in support.
Plugins are an integral part of the web experience... Ignoring that
fact could be a mistake. I'm not just talking about Flash; there are a
lot more plugins out there than just Flash.
Gaming
Think about online gaming: Quake Live is it's own plugin (yes, there is
a mac version too), there are those Flash and Silverlight casual games
all over the web (which are quite popular on netbooks), the Unity 3D
plugin games, oh, and JAVA Applet based games too... none of them will
work. If this device is to take on Netbooks, it must compete in this
area.
HTML5
Even if the HTML5 standard ever really becomes a standard, the
development tools will are not caught up, and each application
implementation will need to be tweaked for each browser variant of
HTML5. There are no graphical IDEs like Flash or Blend for HTML5 to
create expressive and visual applications. It will be more difficult to
make content targeted to run without a player based solution.
RIA
RIAs are being built every day leveraging both Flash and Silverlight
for complex solutions and data visualizations, and many of them contain
features that you simply cannot do in HTML alone (even with HTML5). I
don't see enterprises wanting to re-invest into the applications that
they have already built, just b/c the iPad does not support them.
Instead, I suspect that they will turn to another hardware solution.
This doesn't mean that I don't believe that the iPad has a future. I
have no doubt that it will have an influential role in mobile
computing. A lot of effort and resources went into building it, and
decisions were made that we are not privy to. I simply disagree with
the fact that this is the future of the web. Perhaps it is not even
meant to take on netbooks, or be used in the enterprise.
Does this mean that I will never write software for the iPad?
...Absolutely not. I'm already looking into it, and it offers an
interesting paradigm. Does this mean that I will never use an iPad?
Nope, not that either. All I'm saying is that I'm not sure it is {the
future of the web}.
These are my thoughts, and I'm sure there are many out there that
may disagree. Feel free to post your thoughts in the comments below.
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